The Futurist

Adventures in the futurescape.

Thursday, 10 June 2021

Could NATO fall apart by accident?

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The point of running a game like The Belarussian Right Hook is to discern the potential contours of an emergent future. In my form of foresi...
Friday, 4 June 2021

NATO Falls Apart - The Timeline

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The original object of this game was to derive a timeline that could be used as an input into an economic and financial wargame at a later s...
Wednesday, 26 May 2021

NATO Falls Apart - The Game

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My long term commitments have shifted a bit recently. so I found myself with a bit of time on my hands. This is a rarity that doesn't ha...
Wednesday, 19 May 2021

What happens when generation rent ages?

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We are all growing older. We are growing older as individuals (people always have) and we are growing older as a society. What is different ...
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Tuesday, 27 April 2021

What makes a scenario persuasive?

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If we accept that the future is undetermined, and if we accept that a plurality of futures can emerge from our present state, then how do we...
Monday, 19 April 2021

How do you measure a return on investment for foresight?

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Let's just suppose that we agree that foresight ought to have a return on investment. In that case, how would we go about measuring such...
Tuesday, 13 April 2021

Should foresight have a return on investment?

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This is a peculiarly phrased question, but it is one that is worth bearing with. It highlights a key issue in our motivation for undertaking...
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